Independent Power Producer

37% of Your Revenue Is Merchant
Power Prices Just Dropped 40%

The contracted portion is stable. The merchant portion is bleeding. Your hedge book is underwater. And your board wants to know what the scenario looks like if prices stay here for 18 months.

Merchant Price Volatility

Your exposure to wholesale price swings

$80/MWh$60$40$20$0
PPA: $65/MWh
PPA Expires
20222023202420252026
Current PPA Revenue
$12.4M/yr
at $65/MWh
Merchant Revenue (Current)
$5.2M/yr
at $28/MWh spot
Annual Revenue Gap
$7.2M
58% decline

Your Recontract Options

New Corporate PPAMedium Risk
Timeline:6-12 months
Expected Price:$35-45/MWh
+Fixed revenue
+Bankable
-Price below original
-Long negotiation
Utility PPA ExtensionLow Risk
Timeline:3-6 months
Expected Price:$40-50/MWh
+Known counterparty
+Faster close
-Utility leverage
-Short terms
Merchant + HedgeHigh Risk
Timeline:1-2 months
Expected Price:$25-35/MWh
+Flexibility
+Upside capture
-Revenue volatility
-Lender concerns

Your Merchant Exposure Timeline

MW rolling off contracted terms by year

145 MW
220 MW
380 MW
520 MW
680 MW
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
Contracted
Merchant Exposed

Questions from CFOs & Trading Teams

What IPPs ask about merchant exposure

QHow does SlideStrike model merchant revenue risk?

SlideStrike combines forward curves, volatility surfaces, and your generation profile to model merchant revenue under thousands of price scenarios.

QCan it optimize our hedge strategy?

Yes. SlideStrike analyzes your current hedge book, identifies gaps in coverage, and recommends optimal hedge ratios and instruments based on your risk tolerance.

QWhat about board-level reporting on merchant risk?

SlideStrike generates executive dashboards showing merchant exposure, hedge effectiveness, and scenario analysis in formats boards can actually understand.

MANAGE YOUR MERCHANT RISK

Merchant Exposure Intelligence

Every price scenario modeled. Every hedge tracked. Every risk quantified.

Monte Carlo revenue modeling
Hedge optimization
Board-ready dashboards
Real-time P&L tracking
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Merchant exposure is not a mystery. It is a measurable risk. SlideStrike measures it.